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Top 10 Most Obese States of the Future: Where Does Your State Rank?

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—By Sabrina Keagan| Mon December. 2, 2013 12:01 AM GMT

Is Obesity a public health crisis or moral panic? Our featured report notes that by 2030, 13 states could have rates of adult obesity above 60%.

ObesityPicture

Most of us have heard for decades that the numbers of obese adults has been increase. While adult obesity rates have leveled off in all states except one recently, a new study released by Trust for America’s Health (TFAH) and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF) indicates that obesity, disease rates and health care costs are set to soar in most states in the next two decades.

“America’s No. 1 health problem.” -American Public Health Association (APHA)

The report, titled, F as in Fat: How Obesity Threatens America’s Future 2012, has analyses that provides a state by state forecast for adult obesity rates. It also features the most likely result as increased disease rates and health care costs.

The report notes that by 2030, 13 states could have rates of adult obesity above 60%. Thirty nine states could have rates over 50%, and all states could have obesity rates over 44%.

The report states that if obesity rates in states rise as anticipated, the number of serious diseases suffered by Americans could soar. These include type 2 diabetes, heart disease, stroke, hypertension and arthritis. So where does this really leave us? If obesity is already a public health epidemic where will it be in 20 years?

Adult-Obesity-Statistics-Map-2030

While the problem of future obesity is a concern for all states, the following  five having the highest risk for obesity now and in the future.

Also note that the rates of obesity correlate closely with the percentage of people who exercise in that state, as well as the amount of fast food consumed there. Also related to these statistics is the overall health rank of a state’s population, as well as the percentage of the population with heart disease.

#1 Mississippi

MIObesity

The report notes that Mississippi will be the most obese state by 2030.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 66.7% (rank – #1)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $6,120,000,000 (rank – #29)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 38.5% (rank – #4)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 14.2%

  • Percentage of Dining Out Budget Spent on Fast Food: 62%

  • Number of Sick People: #1

  • Number of Residents With Heart Disease: 7.4% (rank – #6)

#2 Oklahoma

OKObesity

The report states that Oklahoma will be the second most obese state by 2030.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 66.4% (rank – #2)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $7,444,000,000 (rank – #27)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 36.7% (rank – #10)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 16.2%

  • Percentage of Dining Out Budget Spent on Fast Food: 58%

  • Number of Sick People: #7

  • Number of Residents With Heart Disease: 7.6% (rank – #4)

#3 Delaware

DEObesity

The report notes that Delaware will be the third most obese state by 2030.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 64.7% (rank – #3)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $1,912,000,000 (rank – #44)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 33.5% (rank – #25)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 21.5%

  • Number of Sick People: #10

#4 Tennessee

TNObesity

The report states that Tennessee will be the fourth most obese state by 2030.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 63.4% (rank – #4)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $13,827,000,000 (rank – #15)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 38.2% (rank – #5)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 12.7%

  • Number of Sick People: #15

  • Number of Residents With Heart Disease: 6.9% (rank – #10)

#5 South Carolina

SCObesity

The report notes that South Carolina will be the fifth most obese state by 2030.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 62.9% (rank – #5)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $9,309,000,000 (rank – #25)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 36.8% (rank – #9)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 18.5%

  • Number of Sick People: #7

#6 Alabama

ALObesity

Alabama has been found to be the sixth most obese state by 2030, the report states. Birmingham, Alabama has been found to be the 4th most out of shape city in the US.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 62.6% (rank – #6)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $9,481,000,000 (rank – #23)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 40%  (rank – tied for #1)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 15.0%

  • Percentage of Dining Out Budget Spent on Fast Food: 60%

  • Number of Sick People: #9

  • Number of Residents With Heart Disease: 7.4% (rank – #5)

#7 Louisiana

LA-Obesity-Rate

The report finds that Louisiana will be the 7th most obese state by 2030. Louisiana is also home to New Orleans, found to be the 17th most out of shape city in the US.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 62.1% (rank – #7)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $9,839,000,000 (rank – #22)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 40% (rank – tied for #1)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 15.5%

  • Percentage of Dining Out Budget Spent on Fast Food: 54%

  • Number of Sick People: #2

  • Number of Residents with Heart Disease: 7.8% (rank – #3)

#8 Kansas

KSObesity

Kansas is projected to be the 7th most obese state by 2030 tied with Louisiana. One of the reasons for this is that only 16.5% of Kansans exercise regularly.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 62.1% (rank – tied for #7)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $5,979,000,000 (rank – #31)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 34.3% (rank – #22)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 16.5%

#9 Missouri

MOObesity

Missouri is projected to be the 9th most obese state by 2030. One of the reasons for this is that the state’s baby boomers are ranked #8 in the country, with 36.9% of them being obese. This will tend to continue and worsen as these people grow older.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 61.9% (rank – #9)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $13,868,000,000 (rank – #18)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 36.9% (rank – #8)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly:  17.3%

#10 Arkansas

ARObesity

Arkansas will be the 10th most obese state by 2030.  It also is ranked #13 in the number of sick people in its population.

Future Statistics

  • Adult Rates in 2030: 60.6% (rank – #10)

  • Cost Savings by 2030 If BMI Reduced 5% – $6,054,000,000 (rank – #30)

  • Obesity Ranking for Baby Boomers: 38.9% (rank – #3)

Contributing Factors

  • Percentage of People Who Exercise Regularly: 16.7%

  • Number of Sick People: #13

  • Number of Residents with Heart Disease: 7.1% (rank – #7)

Full 2012-2030 State by State Rankings Table

See the complete 2012-2030 adult obesity rankings nationwide.

Adult-Obesity-Statistics-Table-by-State-2030

Text Backup (#1 being the worse)

2030 Ranking

State

2013 Adult obesity rates

1

Mississippi

66.7

2

Oklahoma

66.4

3

Delaware

64.7

4

Tennessee

63.4

5

South Carolina

62.9

6

Alabama

62.6%

7

Kansas

62.1

7

Louisiana

62.1

9

Missouri

61.9

10

Arkansas

60.6

11

South Dakota

60.4

12

West Virginia

60.2

13

Kentucky

60.1

14

Ohio

59.8

15

Michigan

59.4

16

Arizona

58.8

16

Maryland

58.8

18

Florida

58.6

19

North Carolina

58

20

New Hampshire

57.7

21

Texas

57.2

22

North Dakota

57.1

23

Nebraska

56.9

24

Pennsylvania

56.7

25

Wyoming

56.6

26

Wisconsin

56.3

27

Indiana

56

28

Washington

55.5

29

Maine

55.2

30

Minnesota

54.7

31

Iowa

54.4

32

New Mexico

54.2

33

Rhode Island

53.8

34

Illinois

53.7

35

Georgia

53.6

35

Montana

53.6

37

Idaho

53

38

Hawaii

51.8

39

New York

50.9

40

Virginia

49.7

41

Nevada

49.6

42

Oregon

48.8

43

Massachusetts

48.7

44

New Jersey

48.6

45

Vermont

47.7

46

California

46.6

47

Connecticut

46.5

48

Utah

46.4

49

Alaska

45.6%

50

Colorado

44.8

51

District of Columbia

32.6

Sources:

  • http://www.livescience.com/36958-exercise-guidelines-states-colorado.html
  • http://healthyamericans.org/report/108
  • http://www.advisory.com/Daily-Briefing/2011/10/17/heart-disease-rates
  • http://www.rwjf.org/en/about-rwjf/newsroom/newsroom-content/2012/09/adult-obesity-rates-could-exceed-60-percent-in-13-states-by-2030.html
  • http://www.health.com/health/gallery/0,,20499198_2,00.html
  • http://channels.isp.netscape.com/whatsnew/package.jsp?name=fte/healthcarerankings/healthcarerankings&floc=wn-nx

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